Economic Modelling Specialist for The Gcf Readiness

hace 6 días

Panama United Nations A tiempo completo

Result of Service

The objective of the consultancy is to assist in the development of the resilient recovery strategy and its investment plan ready to be approved and adopted by the national authorities. For this purpose, a cost-benefit analysis will build the technical evidence and will quantify the cost and the benefits of the policies that will ultimately aid decision-makers in formulating and adopting the resilient recovery strategy, taking into consideration the COVID-19 consequences and the impacts of the Eta and Iota hurricanes. The resilient recovery strategy will include an investment plan with a number of prioritized measures, previously consulted with relevant stakeholders and policy decision-makers. The consultant will undertake the following activities:
Development of Deliverable 1: Technical report describing the modeling methodology and scenario simulations
- Prepare information and materials to undertake stakeholder interviews (2 workshops), with the aid of the PCU, under the guidance of Honduras NDA and UNEP to: i) define a preliminary list of measures to be included into the model and in consequence to be analysed; ii) to validate the initial assumptions and adjustments to the model; and iii) to validate which are the opportunities for aligning the country’s climate change agenda with the economic recovery agenda post-COVID-19 and Eta/Iota hurricanes
- Adjust and equip a model with several strategies (e.g., policy interventions, or specific infrastructure investments) and carry out an integrated assessment of the outcomes across sectors, economic actors, dimensions of development.
- Analyze the forecast’s impact on GDP and several other indicators (such as job creation, and other indicators already validated in previous activities) that will aid to recovery measures.
- Create simulations, via the review and validation of model results, for all scenarios considered. This includes the definition of policy interventions and related timeline and ambition.
- Select and present to the PSC, the prioritized list of measures (policy and investment outcomes) for an economic recovery in Honduras. The outcomes, presented in robust analysis, will show the need to promote the implementation of several programmes/projects to ensure a resilient recovery.
- Prioritize actions that are more beneficial to formulate pre-factibility projects that advance the implementation of the intervention
- Design a power point presentation of the modelling findings.
- Present the findings (report and PowerPoint) to technical specialists and high-level officials under the PSC.

Development of Deliverable 2: Final report based on the economic modelling used to informed the development of the Resilient Recovery Strategy
- Present the overall results and the cost benefit analysis of the prioritized policies. This will consider a robust financial and economic analysis as well as the expected social, economic, and environmental outcomes of the interventions.
- Collaborate with sectoral experts in the development of pre-feasibility assessments.
- Write the assessment report, including a high-level policy brief, providing an interpretation of the results of the model, in the context of the country.
- Test the various “what if” scenarios of the prioritized list of measures (policy and investment outcomes)
- Develop an investment plan considering the availability of financial resources (national & international, public/private) as well as the expected social economic, and environmental outcomes of interventions based on a clear timeline and stakeholder roles
- Integrate the feedback received from different stakeholders.
- Design a power point presentation of the final findings.
- Present the final findings (report and PowerPoint) to technical specialists and high-level officials under the PSC.

Outputs

Development of Activity 1

Development of Activity 2

Deliverables

Product No. 1: Technical report describing the modeling methodology and scenario simulations

Product No. 2: Investment Plan and Cost-Benefit Analysis based on the economic modelling used to informed the development of the Resilient Recovery Strategy

Work Location
Home-based

Expected duration
4 months

**Responsibilities**:
The United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP) is the leading global environmental authority that sets the global environmental agenda, promotes the coherent implementation of the environmental dimension of sustainable development within the United Nations system and serves as an authoritative advocate for the global environment.

The UNEP Latin America and the Caribbean Office (LACO), located in Panama City, works closely with the 33 countries of the region and its activities are integrated into the Medium-Term Strategy and the Programme of Work approved by the United Nations Environment Assembly (UNEA).

During the XXII Meeting of the Forum of Ministers of Environment of Latin America and the Caribbean (LAC) (Barbados, February 202

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